

Delaware election survey
October 04, 2016
Carney leads in state's gubernatorial race, Blunt Rochester in congressional race
A new University of Delaware Center for Political Communication survey finds that 57 percent of registered voters in Delaware would vote for Democratic candidate John Carney and 25 percent would vote for Republican candidate Colin Bonini, if the election for Delaware governor were being held today.
Also, 4 percent supported Libertarian candidate Sean Goward and 3 percent chose Green candidate Andrew Groff.
The representative telephone survey, conducted on Sept. 16-28, interviewed 900 registered Delaware voters by landline and cell phone.
In the race for Delaware’s seat in the U.S. House of Representatives, 46 percent of registered voters would vote for Democratic candidate Lisa Blunt Rochester versus 26 percent for Republican candidate Hans Reigle. Libertarian candidate Scott Gesty was the choice of 6 percent, and 5 percent supported Mark Perri of the Green Party.
Other findings from the survey:
• Carney receives majority support among both women and men, as well as across all age groups, racial and ethnic groups, and levels of education.
• More than a fourth of Republicans surveyed (26 percent) say they would vote for Carney.
• Carney leads by double-digit margins in all three of Delaware’s counties.
• Blunt Rochester leads Reigle by only 5 percentage points among white respondents (39 percent to 35 percent) but leads by 69 points among African American respondents (73 percent to 4 percent).
• Blunt Rochester leads Reigle by 31 points in New Castle County, 5 points in Kent County, and 4 points in Sussex County.
The Center for Political Communication, along with Delaware Public Media, will host the Gubernatorial and U.S. House of Representatives debates for Delaware on Wednesday, Oct. 19, in Mitchell Hall, located on the University of Delaware's Newark campus. Doors will open at 6 p.m., and everyone must be seated by 6:30 p.m. The Delaware Debates will begin at 7 p.m. All tickets are free and available to the public, students and the University community.
About the study
The National Agenda Opinion Project research was funded by the University of Delaware’s Center for Political Communication (CPC) and the William P. Frank Foundation. The study was supervised by the CPC’s Research Director, Paul Brewer, a professor in the departments of Communication and Political Science and International Relations.
Results are based on telephone interviews with a representative sample of 900 registered voters. Telephone interviews were conducted by landline (450) and cell phone (450, including 187 without a landline). The survey was conducted from Sept. 16-28, by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Statistical results are weighted to correct known demographic discrepancies. The margin of sampling error for the complete set of weighted data is ± 3.8 percentage points.
Readers should be aware that in addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
Contact Paul Brewer at 302-831-7771 for more details about the survey’s methodology.
Contact Us
Have a UDaily story idea?
Contact us at ocm@udel.edu
Members of the press
Contact us at 302-831-NEWS or visit the Media Relations website