Snapple bottle caps always have an interesting fact or cool piece of information on the bottom. One of the caps says that meteorologists believe their forecasts to be accurate 85% of the time. I would guess that on bright, sunny days forecast accuracy is nearly 100%. However, when extreme weather is imminent or when trying to building a long-term climate projection, forecast accuracy decreases. Unfourtunatly these are the two areas that impact commerce and travel the most. Thus, the value of any given forecaster (and the meteorological community) should be a function of performance during extreme events.
So, how is greater accuracy achieved?
One possibility is to better understand how the ocean and atmosphere interact on all spatial and temporal scales. The physics in the marine boundarly layer happen on small scales but, the implications can be large and signifcant. Who knows- maybe twenty years from now the Snapples bottle caps will say that meteorologists believe their forecats to be 90% accurate!
I am working toward a degree in Physical Ocean Science and Engineering at the University of Delaware. I work as a Research Assistant under Dr. Fabrice Veron in the Air-Sea Interaction Laboratory. My research focuses on gas transfer across the atmosphere/ocean interface (check out more on my research page).
Before coming to Delaware I gradutated from Millersville University in 2010 with a BS in Meteorology and a BS in Ocean Sciences and Coastal Studies with an option in Physical Oceanography. While attending Millersville, I actively participated in the local chapter of the American Meteorological Society and was President of the Ocean Science Club. During the summer months, I was fourtunate enough to get involved in undergraduate research and internships (check out my CV).
I am recently married and live local to Newark, DE with my wife, Chelsea. In my free time I enjoy playing sports, weather forecasting/observations, relaxing with friends/family, grilling/cookouts, softball, raquetball, boating, and an occasional jog. A goal in life is to live near the beach with my family and own a boat. I am a big sports enthusiast and will always be loyal to the Baltimore Ravens, Baltimore Orioles, and Maryland Terrapins.
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